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According to the contract for professional services, we have compared the present value of the <br />cost of renting space at market levels for Class A/B buildings with the projected construction cost. <br />Additionally, we compared the present value of the cost of market rent to the present value of <br />scheduled contract rent and reversionary value of the building. The specified period is fiscal year <br />7uly 1, 1999, to fiscal year 2025, which is represented as a 26-year period. <br />The estimatsd market rent is based on a market rent survey of Salem CBD Class A/B buildings. <br />The concluded lease rates will then be analyzed (using discounted cash flow analysis) with a <br />discount to present value of the proposed total lease income for the Marion County space <br />compared to the reported cost to build the Marion County office space, exclusive of the Transit <br />District's contribufion. This technique will be identified as Technique 1. The second technique <br />will compare the present value of the lease income stream to the proposed contract/ownership, <br />which includes the proposed contract amount ($1.30/SF) plus the reversion at the end of the <br />26-year period of the land and building value. These two techniques will be summarized in the <br />Summary section. <br />The Salem office market is influenced by the overall economic influences ~on the Salem <br />metropolitan azea. The area has displayed positive economic influences, with tlie recent U.S. <br />Territory 1998 Regional Economic Review and Forecast by the Economics Department of <br />US Bank stating: <br />"The Salem metropolitan area offers the stability of a state capitol complex, a <br />productive, diverse agricultural sector, forest products, one of the State's most popular <br />tourist destinations, a growing technology sector, and the stimulus of a private <br />university. All of this is within one hour's drive of a large, rapidly growing urban <br />area. This is a combination that should result in continued strong growth in Salem, <br />despite the leveling out in the State government complex." <br />According to information from the Salem/Keizer Market Update 1997 Overview and 1998 <br />Forecast provided by Coldwell Banker, the Salem area's office market remained healthY in 1997, <br />closing the year with a 5.9 percent overall vacancy rate. The vacancy rate has increased slightly <br />ove.r 1996 because of new construction completion, and a change in the methodology of tracking <br />spac;e. The report indicates that State and County govemments continue to lease space, occaPyu-g <br />former. retail buildings and new Class A office space because they are unable to find large blocks <br />of contiguous space elsewhere. The report indicates that the State entered into and renewed leases <br />7 <br />C98052 PALMER, GROTH & P[ETKA, INC. <br />